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07/17/2014 – Natural Gas

  • July 17, 2014
  • Natural Gas

Issued: 07/14/2014

Aug. natural gas:

1. In Monday’s, July 7 Williams edge live meeting it was noted that natural gas was in a weak position which indicated a continued decline from approx. $426 down to $414, then $409, and $404 as final downside target.

2. Today’s Aug. natural gas session attempted the $409 downside target (session low, $410.10, so far).

3. No official short entry was messaged based upon the above decline. Self-directed traders should not attempt the final $404 downside target as the market has shown early signs of internal strength (example: natural gas has been unable to touch $409 noted earlier). Will update.

David Williams

Issued: 07/01/2014

Aug. natural gas:

1. Continued hourly and especially daily close above $442 in Aug. natural gas indicates new long entry for a multi-day advance and test/attempt at $453/$54 (or higher).

2. Initial long position exit should be taken at/near $448/$49. Further exit should be taken at/near $453/$54. Any remaining long position should be held for higher price targets to be messaged in a subsequent update.

3. Once long a protective sell stop should be placed at $437.00. The stop will be moved higher as the market continues to confirm.

David Williams

Issued: 07/17/2014

Aug. natural gas:

1. In Monday’s, July 7 Williams edge live meeting it was noted that natural gas was in a weak position which indicated a continued decline from $426 down to $414, then $409, then $404 as the final downside target.

2. Today’s Aug. natural gas completed the final $404 downside target noted in the original update (today’s session low, $404.30, so far).

3. No official short entry was messaged based upon the above forecast decline. Self-directed traders were previously instructed to not attempt the final $404 downside target.

4. Today’s completion of $404 on the downside completes the full move. Will message any further entry or indication as the market confirms.

David Williams

Issued: 07/08/2014

Aug. natural gas:

1. Our previous Tuesday, July 1 update looked for a daily close above $442 in Aug. natural gas for new long entry.

2. On Wed., July 2 Aug. natural gas closed at $435.70, well below the $442 level, negating the above indication.

3. In yesterday’s (Monday, July 7) Williams edge live meeting it was noted that natural gas was in a very weak position which indicated a fast continued to decline to $414, $409, and $404 final downside target.

4. Today’s session continue to show weakness and completed the $414 initial downside target.

5. Although no official short entry was messaged, any self-directed trader should exit partial positions at/near $414. The remaining downside targets should be used as final exits. Will update.

David Williams

CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

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CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
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