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06/26/2014 – Natural Gas

  • June 26, 2014
  • Natural Gas

Issued: 06/10/2014

July natural gas:

1. During the week of May 26 July natural gas was forecast to advance strongly (from its then current price of approximately $446) into the week of June 2 (or slightly beyond) then reverse sharply and test/attempt $439/$38 into the week of June 16 (next week).

2. This week (week of June 9) July natural gas reversed sharply off it’s $474.30 swing high and continues to attempt lower. The forecast decline to test/attempt $439/$38 (or lower) is likely underway.

3. Will message any new entry based upon the above as the opportunity arises.

David Williams

Issued: 06/26/2014

July/Aug. natural gas:

1. During the week of May 26 July natural gas was forecast to advance powerfully (from $446) into the week of June 2 (+1 week) then reverse sharply and test/attempt $439/$38 into the week of June 16 (+ 1 week).

2. Natural gas overran the forecast advance by continuing higher into the week of June 16 where it topped at $489.30 and reversed sharply lower.

3. This week (the week of June 23) natural gas effectively completed the forecast $439/$38 downside target with today’s session low of $440.50, just $.60 from being in the range of $439 final downside target.

4. While the above was not issued as a trade, we are gratified at the above results as they reflect certain recent improvements in our use of the roadmap principle when applied specifically to natural gas.

David Williams

CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

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CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
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