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04/22/2014 – Natural Gas

  • April 22, 2014
  • Natural Gas

Issued: 04/21/2014

May natural gas:

1. Although the May natural gas contract rolls into June in approximately one week, the following indication can be traded in the May contract:

2. Continued hourly and especially a daily close today below $478 will indicate new short entry for a fast decline and test/attempt at $465/$64 (or lower) into Tuesday, April 22 (+/-1 day).

3. Initial short position exit should be taken at/near $470. The remainder should be exited at/near $465/$64, noted above. Aggressive can continue to hold for the possibility of lower prices to be messaged in a subsequent update.

4. Initial protective buy stop should be placed at $482.50. This stop will be lowered as the market continues to confirm.

David Williams

Issued: 04/21/2014

May natural gas:

1. Today’s May natural gas continued the forecast decline from $478 and completed the initial downside profit target at $470, noted in the original update (today’s session low, $468.70 so far).

2. Lower prices remain indicated, including a test/attempt at $465/$64 (or lower) noted in the previous update.

3. Our protective buy stop has been lowered to $477. This stop will be lowered as the market continues to confirm.

David Williams

Issued: 04/22/2014

May natural gas:

1. May natural gas attempted the forecast $465/$64 downside target but reversed off that attempt (today’s session low, $467.70, so far).

2. Those short May natural gas from at/near $478 should lower their protective stop to $474.50. Will update.

David Williams

Issued: 04/22/2014

May natural gas:

1. Today’s May natural gas hit our recently adjusted protective buy stop at $474.50. This completes the original short trade noted in previous updates. Will message any further entry or indication.

David Williams

Issued: 04/22/2014

CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

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CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
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