Issued: 11/20/2014
Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:
1. Our recent Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond update indicated the importance of the bond market testing the $140.30 downside target expected on Nov. 18 (+1 day).
2. Yesterday’s (Wed. Nov. 19) session declined sharply, making a session low of $141.00, just 2 ticks above the $140.30 target. This indicates internal strength in the bond market.
3. Today’s rally places the bond market in a ‘buy’ position for aggressive traders (current price $142.02). All others should place a buy stop/new long position at $142.15. Substantially higher prices are possible, including a test/attempt at $143.13, then $144.00.
4. An initial protective sell stop should be placed at $142.22. This stop will be moved higher as the market continues to confirm.
David Williams
Issued: 11/20/2014
Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bonds:
1. Our previous report incorrectly indicated our protective stop price at $142.22.
2. Correction: An initial protective sell stop should be placed at $141.22. This stop will be moved higher as the market continues to confirm.
David Williams
Issued: 11/25/2014
Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:
1. Our buy stop/new long position at $142.15 was triggered today in the Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond.
2. Our protective sell stop has been raised to $141.30. This stop will be moved higher as the market continues to confirm. All other previous instructions remain intact.
David Williams
Issued: 11/25/2014
Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bonds:
1. Today’s (Tues., Nov. 25th) Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond market continued to advance and reached our initial profit-taking territory at/near $142.25 noted in our Nov. 20 bond report (today’s swing high, $142.30, so far).
2. Higher prices remain possible, as noted in our Nov. 20 report.
3. Our protective sell stop has been raised $142.15. This stop will continue to be moved higher as the market continues to confirm. Will update.
David Williams
Issued: 11/26/2014
Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:
1. Today’s (Wed., Nov. 26) Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond continued on the forecast advance from our Nov. 25 $142.15 long entry and completed the forecast $143.13 upside profit target (today’s session high, $143.13, so far).
2. Further long position exits were taken at/near the $143.13 upside target as noted in our original report.
3. Any remaining long position can be held for a trend following exit with the possibility of $144.00 (or higher).
4. Our protective sell stop has been raised $142.20. This stop will continue to be moved higher as the market continues to confirm. Will update.
David Williams
Issued: 11/28/2014
Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:
1. Our Nov. 20 Dec. 30 year US treasury bond report indicated aggressive long entry and $142.02 and ordinary long entry on a buy stop at $142.15. An advance to $143.13, then $144.00 was expected.
2. Subsequently, the Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond advanced to $143.13 on Wed., Nov. 26 and later completed the $144.00 final upside target today, Fri., Nov. 28. This completes the trade.
3. From this point forward, a Nov. monthly close above $144.10 is the stronger position, below $144.10 the weaker position. Will update as the market confirms.
David Williams
Issued: 11/23/2014
Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:
1. Our buy stop/new long position remains at $142.15 in the Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond.
2. Should this buy stop be triggered an initial long position exit should be taken at/near $142.25.
3. A protective sell stop should then be placed at $141.22. This stop will be moved higher as the market continues to confirm.
David Williams