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11/28/2014 – 30 YR Treasury Bond

  • November 28, 2014
  • 30 YR Treasury Bond

Issued: 11/20/2014

Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:

1. Our recent Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond update indicated the importance of the bond market testing the $140.30 downside target expected on Nov. 18 (+1 day).

2. Yesterday’s (Wed. Nov. 19) session declined sharply, making a session low of $141.00, just 2 ticks above the $140.30 target. This indicates internal strength in the bond market.

3. Today’s rally places the bond market in a ‘buy’ position for aggressive traders (current price $142.02). All others should place a buy stop/new long position at $142.15. Substantially higher prices are possible, including a test/attempt at $143.13, then $144.00.

4. An initial protective sell stop should be placed at $142.22. This stop will be moved higher as the market continues to confirm.

David Williams

Issued: 11/20/2014

Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bonds:

1. Our previous report incorrectly indicated our protective stop price at $142.22.

2. Correction: An initial protective sell stop should be placed at $141.22. This stop will be moved higher as the market continues to confirm.

David Williams

Issued: 11/25/2014

Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:

1. Our buy stop/new long position at $142.15 was triggered today in the Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond.

2. Our protective sell stop has been raised to $141.30. This stop will be moved higher as the market continues to confirm. All other previous instructions remain intact.

David Williams

Issued: 11/25/2014

Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bonds:

1. Today’s (Tues., Nov. 25th) Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond market continued to advance and reached our initial profit-taking territory at/near $142.25 noted in our Nov. 20 bond report (today’s swing high, $142.30, so far).

2. Higher prices remain possible, as noted in our Nov. 20 report.

3. Our protective sell stop has been raised $142.15. This stop will continue to be moved higher as the market continues to confirm. Will update.

David Williams

Issued: 11/26/2014

Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:

1. Today’s (Wed., Nov. 26) Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond continued on the forecast advance from our Nov. 25 $142.15 long entry and completed the forecast $143.13 upside profit target (today’s session high, $143.13, so far).

2. Further long position exits were taken at/near the $143.13 upside target as noted in our original report.

3. Any remaining long position can be held for a trend following exit with the possibility of $144.00 (or higher).

4. Our protective sell stop has been raised $142.20. This stop will continue to be moved higher as the market continues to confirm. Will update.

David Williams

Issued: 11/28/2014

Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:

1. Our Nov. 20 Dec. 30 year US treasury bond report indicated aggressive long entry and $142.02 and ordinary long entry on a buy stop at $142.15. An advance to $143.13, then $144.00 was expected.

2. Subsequently, the Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond advanced to $143.13 on Wed., Nov. 26 and later completed the $144.00 final upside target today, Fri., Nov. 28. This completes the trade.

3. From this point forward, a Nov. monthly close above $144.10 is the stronger position, below $144.10 the weaker position. Will update as the market confirms.

David Williams

Issued: 11/23/2014

Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:

1. Our buy stop/new long position remains at $142.15 in the Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond.

2. Should this buy stop be triggered an initial long position exit should be taken at/near $142.25.

3. A protective sell stop should then be placed at $141.22. This stop will be moved higher as the market continues to confirm.

David Williams

CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

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CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
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