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10/20/2014 – Crude Oil

  • October 20, 2014
  • Crude Oil

Issued: 10/20/2014

Dec. crude oil:

1. Dec. crude is attempting to test $80/$79.80 (or lower) later today (Mon., Oct. 20, +1 day). A further decline and test/attempt at $79/$78.80 remains possible into mid week.

2. Aggressive can sell short Dec. crude oil for the above noted decline. Partial short position exit should be taken at/near $80.50.

3. Prior to completing the above-noted downside targets there should be no daily close above $82.00. Such a daily close would negate the above noted decline. Therefore, protective stops should be placed accordingly.

David Williams

Issued: 10/20/2014

Dec. crude oil:

1. Today’s (Mon., Oct. 20) Dec. crude oil made its first attempt at testing the $80/$79.80 downside target noted in today’s earlier report. A further decline and test/attempt at $79/$78.80 remains possible into mid week, also noted in the report.

2. Today’s session low was $80.78. The session closed at $81.85, which is below $82.00 noted in our previous update and keeps the position contact, for now.

3. A protective buy stop should be placed at $82.40. This stop will be moved lower as the market continues to confirm.

David Williams

Issued: 10/21/2014

Dec. crude oil:

1. Our Mon., Dec. 20 crude oil report indicated that aggressive traders could short Dec. crude oil for a possible test/attempt at $80/$79.80 (or lower) into Mon., Oct. 20, +1 day.

2. Today’s (Tues., Oct. 21) Dec. crude oil advanced and triggered our $82.40 protective buy stop, resulting in a loss on the position. Will message any further entry or indication in crude oil as the market confirms.

David Williams

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CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
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