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09/28/2014 – 30 YR Treasury Bond

  • September 28, 2014
  • 30 YR Treasury Bond

Issued: 09/23/2014

Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:

1. In Monday’s (Sept. 22) Williams edge live meeting it was noted that the Dec. 30 year treasury bond market would likely continue its advance into the forecast Sept.23 (+/-1 day) daily market top. Once this top was confirmed, a tradable decline to $136.30 (initial) then at/near $136.19 (or lower) downside price target was expected.

2. Today’s (Tues. Sept.23) Dec. treasury bond advanced and made a session high of $137.18. This is an important upside price completion and places the market at a critical juncture on the upside.

3. However, a wildcard indication exists which would have the Dec. 30 year treasury bond continue its current advance with a fast finish up at $138.18/$22. Because of this possibility, any new short (or long) entry will be messaged in tomorrow’s live session.

David Williams

Issued: 09/29/2014

Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:

1. Our previous (Thurs., Sept. 25) report indicated further advance in the Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond above $137.18 to $137.31, then $138.16/$18 final upside target.

2. Today’s (Mon., Sept. 29) completed the $138.16/$18 final upside target noted in the original forecast (today’s session high, $138.19, so far). This is an important upside completion.. Will message any further entry or indication as the market confirms.

David Williams

Issued: 09/24/2014

Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:

1. Our Mon. (Sept. 22) Williams edge live meeting indicated that the Dec. 30 year treasury bond market would likely continue its recent advance into the upcoming forecast Wed. Sept. 23 (+/-1 day) daily market top. A quick decline to $136.30 (initial) then at/near $136.19 final target (or lower) was forecast into Thurs., Sept. 25 (+/-1 day).

2. Today’s (Wed., Sept. 24) session retested the noted $137.18 resistance and reversed lower and completed the $136.30 initial downside target (today’s session low, $136.26).

3. Lower prices remain likely, including a test/attempt at/near $136.19 noted in the original forecast. Self-directed traders should continue to hold any remaining short position for the possibility of completion of the $136.19 downside target (or lower). Will update.

David Williams

Issued: 09/25/2014

Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:

1. Our Mon. (Sept. 22) Williams edge live meeting indicated that the Dec. 30 year treasury bond would top on Wed. Sept. 23 (+/-1 day) and decline to $136.30 (initial) then at/near $136.19 final target (or lower) into today, Thurs., Sept. 25 (+/-1 day).

2. Yesterday’s (Wed., Sept. 24) session reversed lower and completed the $136.30 initial downside profit target (Wed’s. session low, $136.26).

3. However, today’s session has broken out above the recent $137.18 swing high. This is an important (and unusual) development and may prompt new long entry for advance to at/near $137.31, then $138.16/$18.

4. From this point forward continued hourly and especially a daily close above $137.20 are the stronger position with regard to the above noted higher price targets. Will update.

David Williams

Issued: 09/25/2014

Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:

1. Today’s (Thurs., Sept. 25) previous update indicated that further advance above $137.18 in the Dec. 30 year U.S. Treasury bond would indicate advance to at/near $137.31, then $138.16/$18.

2. Today’s session completed the $137.31 upside target (today’s session high, $138.00, so far). Higher prices remain likely into tomorrow including a test/attempt at $138.16/$18 noted in the original forecast. Will message any new entry based upon further advance in tomorrow’s session.

David Williams

CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

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CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
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