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09/14/2014 – Crude Oil

  • September 14, 2014
  • Crude Oil

Issued: 09/11/2014

Nov. crude oil:

1. Continued test and 240 minute or especially a daily close below either $92.40 – $65 makes those levels short selling territory for a tradable multi-day decline and test/attempt at $90.60 (or lower).

2. Aggressive can sell short upon any touch and hourly close below $92.40 – $65.

3. Initial short position exit should be taken at/near $91.90, further exit at/near $91.25, and a final exit at/near $90.65 against the $90.60 target.

4. Initial protective buy stop should be placed at $93.14. This stop will be moved lower as the market continues to confirm. Will update.

David Williams

Issued: 09/12/2014

Nov. crude oil:

1. Yesterday’s (Thurs., Sept. 11) Nov. crude oil report indicated that any test and hourly, 240 minute or especially a daily close below either $92.40 – $65 would make those levels short selling territory for a tradable multi-day decline and test/attempt at $90.60 (or lower).

2. Today’s Nov. crude oil tested tested $92.65 (today’s session high $92.66) and closed both hourly and 240 minute below that level. This indicated new short entry. Initial exit was taken at/near $91.90 as noted in the report (today’s session low, $91.72, so far).

3. Further decline remains indicated including a test/attempt at $91.25 then $90.60 final downside target, also noted in the report.

4. Protective stop should be placed at $92.45. This stop will be moved lower as the market continues to confirm. Will update.

David Williams

Issued: 09/14/2014

Nov. crude oil:

1. Friday’s (Sept. 12) Nov. crude oil session tested the $92.65 selling territory (Friday’s session high, $92.66) and closed both hourly and 240 minute below that level. This indicated new short entry, noted in our Thurs., Sept. 12 report. Initial profit was taken at/near $91.90, as noted in the report.

2. The next important profit-taking target was at/near $91.25. The subsequent swing low was $91.35. It is expected that secondary profits were taken at/near these levels.

3. Prior to continuing lower Nov. crude advanced and triggered our $92.45 protective buy stop (swing high, $92.46). While unfortunate, this resulted in a successful trade.

4. Lower prices remain indicated. Will message any reentry if the market confirms.

David Williams

CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

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CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
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