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07/01/2014 – Gold

  • July 1, 2014
  • Gold

Issued: 06/19/2014

Aug. gold:

1. Continued daily and weekly closes above $1320 in Aug. gold will be the earliest indication for a continued advance and test/attempt at $1396/$97 then $1416/$18 into July 2014 (+1 month).

2. New long entry will be messaged in a subsequent update, either from below $1320 (noted above) or from higher prices, depending on market conditions. Will update.

David Williams

Issued: 06/30/2014

Aug. gold:

1. Our previous Aug. gold update indicated that any further test and daily close above $1307/$06 into Friday, June 27 (+/-1 day) would indicate further advance and test of $1335, then $1339 (or higher). The test and daily close above $1307/$06 occurred on Thursday, June 27 (1 trading day early).

2. Today’s Aug. gold session closed strong at $1327.80, well above the critical $1320 level also noted in the previous updates.

2. Therefore, place a buy limit/new long position in Aug. gold between $1321/$18. Should the market be unable to trigger this buy limit, an alternate long entry may be messaged in a subsequent update.

3. Exit initial long position at/near $1326/$27, then further at/near $1334/$35. The final upside target is $1339/$40. However, substantially higher prices remain possible into July/Aug. including $1396/$97, then $1416/$18 into July 2014 (plus 1 month), noted in our June 19 update.

4. Once long, place a protective sell stop at $1310. This stop will be moved higher as the market continues to confirm. Will update.

David Williams

Issued: 07/01/2014

Aug. gold:

1. Today’s Aug. gold continued on the recent forecast advance from $1306/$07 and completed the initial $1335 upside target noted in the original June 26 update (today’s session high, $1334.90, so far).

2. Yesterday’s (Monday, June 30) buy limit between $1321/$18 remain untriggered, for now. This order may be canceled in a subsequent update if the market does not continue to confirm in today’s session. Will update.

David Williams

Issued: 06/26/2014

Aug. gold:

1. Aug. gold has been unable to close daily or weekly above the $1320 level noted in the previous update (highest recent daily close, $1319.30, so far). Short-term, this is the weaker position.

2. Further, the next important weekly top is due this week, the week of June 23 (+1 week).

3. However, any further test/attempt and daily close above $1307/$06 into Friday, June 27 (+/-1 day) will indicate new long entry for further advance and test/attempt at $1335, then $1339 (or higher) next week, the week of June 30. Will update as the market continues to confirm the above.

David Williams

Issued: 07/01/2014

Aug. gold:

1. Today’s Aug. gold completed the initial forecast advance from $1306/$07 to $1335.00 noted in previous updates (session high, $1334.90). Higher prices remain likely, longer-term.

2. However, the market is nearing a critical juncture on the upside, short term. Therefore, our buy limit/new long position at $1321/$18 should be canceled at this time. This is being done out of prudence. Will message any new entry once the market confirms.

David Williams

CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

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CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
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