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06/08/2014 – 30 YR Treasury Bond

  • June 8, 2014
  • 30 YR Treasury Bond

Issued: 06/09/2014

September 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:

1. Today’s (Monday, June 9) September 30 year U.S. Treasury bond market declined and triggered our $135.03 protective sell stop on the remaining 1/3 of our long position from $134.29/$26. This resulted in a successful trade.

2. How the September 30 year U.S. Treasury bond handles the current decline is important and may prompt further entry for new long position into later this week. Will update as the market confirms.

David Williams

Issued: 06/04/2014

September 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:

1. As noted in recent live Williams edge meetings the next important daily market bottom for the September 30 year U.S. Treasury bond is today, Wed., June 4 (+/-1 day). A tradable multi-day advance is expected off this bottom.

2. Although not a forecast for lower prices, our preference for new long entry begins at $134.27, which is slightly below today’s session low of $134.31.

3. Therefore, $134.29/$26 is now buying territory/new long position if touched.

4. Once long, initial long position exit should be taken at $135.16. Higher price targets will be messaged in a subsequent update.

5. An initial protective sell stop should be placed at $134.14. This stop will be moved higher as the market continues to confirm.

6. Alternate long entry will be messaged at higher prices if the above fails to confirm as noted.

David Williams

Issued: 06/04/2014

September 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:

Further update: The June 4 (+/-1 day) daily market bottom (noted in the previous update) is particularly important as it has a longer-term upside target at/near $138.20 into July 2014. This was noted in today’s (Wed., June 4) Williams edge meeting. Will update.

David Williams

Issued: 06/05/2014

September 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:

1. Our Wed. June 4 update indicated a daily bottom due on June 4 (+/-1 day) and new long entry in the September 30 year U.S. Treasury bond between $134.29/$26. An advance to $135.16 initial upside target was forecast.

2. Today’s (Thursday, June 5) session triggered our long entry between $134.29/$26 and completed the forecast $135.16 initial upside target (session high, $135.20, so far). Higher prices remain expected. Further long position exit will be messaged in a subsequent update.

3. Our protective sell stop has been raised to $134.20. This stop will continue to be moved higher as the market continues to confirm. Will update.

David Williams

Issued: 06/06/2014

September 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:

1. We remain long the September 30 year U.S. Treasury bond from our Thursday, June 5 entry between $134.29/$26.

2. Initial long position exit was taken at the forecast $135.16 upside target (noted in the previous update). Further long position exit should be taken at current prices (current price $136.02.

3. Our protective sell stop has been raised to $135.03. This stop will continue to be moved higher as the market continues to confirm.

David Williams

CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

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CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
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