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05/01/2014 – Soybeans

  • May 1, 2014
  • Soybeans

Issued: 05/01/2014

July soybeans:

1. Our previous July soybean update forecast a Wed., April 30 (+/-1 day) daily top at $15.21 in to be followed by a tradable decline to $14.94 (or lower).

2. Wed., April 30 closed at $15.12 (below $15.21) which was the weaker position, as noted in the report.

3. Self-directed traders short from Wednesday’s $15.12 daily close exited a portion of their position at/near the $14.94 downside target completed in today’s session.

4. A daily close today above $14.89 will prompt final short position exit. A daily close today below $14.89 is the weaker position and will prompt continued hold into Friday, May 2 for the possibility of lower prices. Will update.

David Williams

Issued: 05/01/2014

July soybeans:

1. Today’s July soybeans continues on the forecast decline below our original downside target at $14.94.

2. Self-directed traders should exit a further portion of their (approximate) $15.12 short position at current prices (current price, $14.84). Will update.

David Williams

Issued: 05/01/2014

July soybeans:

1. July soybeans continues to decline. Exit any remaining short position from $15.12 at current prices (current price $14.76). This completes the trade.

David Williams

Issued: 04/29/2014

July soybeans:

1. The next important daily market top in July soybeans is Wed., April 30 (+/-1 day).

2. A daily close below $15.21 is the weaker position and the earliest indication for a decline and test at/near $14.94 (or lower).

3. Will message any new entry in tomorrow’s session if the market confirms as noted above.

David Williams

CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

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CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
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