04/27/2014 – 30 YR Treasury Bond

Issued: 04/10/2014

June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond, previous update:

1. Today’s June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond market failed at the $133.22 – $133.30 potential selling territory and completed the majority of the forecast decline to $133.07 (or lower) noted in the previous updates (today’s session low, $133.08, so far).

2. Although no official short entry occurred, self-directed traders should have exited a portion of their short position at/near the $133.07 downside target noted in the previous update. Will message any further entry or indication into Thursday, April 10 as the market confirms.

Latest update:

1. Today’s (Thursday, April 10) 30 year US June treasury bond session advanced powerfully and closed the day at $134.14. The market is now near recent swing highs.

2. Tomorrow, Friday, April 11 (+/-1 day) is the next important daily market top in the 30 year U.S. Treasury bond market. A tradable, multi-day decline is expected off this top if the market confirms, as noted below.

3. Continued hourly and especially daily closes below $134.16 will indicate new short entry and a multi-day decline and test/attempt at $133.12 (or lower) into next week (Wed., April 16 +/-1 day). Will update further in tomorrow’s session as the market confirms.

David Williams

Issued: 04/11/2014

June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond, previous update:

1. Today’s (Thursday, April 10) 30 year US June treasury bond session advanced powerfully and closed the day at $134.14. The market is now near recent swing highs.

2. Tomorrow, Friday, April 11 (+/-1 day) is the next important daily market top in the 30 year U.S. Treasury bond market. A tradable, multi-day decline is expected off this top if the market confirms, as noted below.

3. Continued hourly and especially daily closes below $134.16 will indicate new short entry and a multi-day decline and test/attempt at $133.12 (or lower) into next week (Wed., April 16 +/-1 day). Will update further in tomorrow’s session as the market confirms.

Latest update:

1. Today’s June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond market advanced beyond the $134.16 level noted in the previous update. A daily close today above $134.16 is the stronger position and negates new short entry, for now. Will update.

David Williams

Issued: 04/27/2014

June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:

1. Our previous April 11 and April 14 forecast (made in live trading room) indicated that a failure at $134.16 in the June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond would begin a multi-day decline for a test attempt at $133.12 as final downside target.

2. On April 22 the June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond made a session low of $133.14, just slightly above the $133.12 final downside target noted in the original update. The market reversed powerfully off that price low. Will message any further entry or indication as the market confirms.

David Williams

Issued: 04/08/2014

June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond, latest update:

1. Any further test and failure (touch and continued hourly or daily close below) either $133.22 – $133.30 in the June 30 year treasury bond will indicate new short entry for a test/attempt at $133.07 (or lower) into Thursday, April 10 (+/-1 day).

2. Alternatively, any daily close above $134.00 is the stronger position and may prompt new long entry if such a close occurs on or prior to Thursday, April 10 noted above. Will update as the market continues to confirm.

David Williams

Issued: 04/09/2014

June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond, previous update:

1. Any further test and failure (touch and continued hourly or daily close below) either $133.22 – $133.30 in the June 30 year treasury bond will indicate new short entry for a test/attempt at $133.07 (or lower) into Thursday, April 10 (+/-1 day).

2. Alternatively, any daily close above $134.00 is the stronger position and may prompt new long entry if such a close occurs on or prior to Thursday, April 10 noted above. Will update as the market continues to confirm.

Latest update:

1. Today’s June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond market failed at the $133.22 – $133.30 potential selling territory and completed the majority of the forecast decline to $133.07 (or lower) noted in the previous updates (today’s session low, $133.08, so far).

2. Although no official short entry occurred, self-directed traders should have exited a portion of their short position at/near the $133.07 downside target noted in the previous update. Will message any further entry or indication into Thursday, April 10 as the market confirms.

David Williams

Issued: 03/30/2014

June US 30 year treasury bond, previous update:

1. The above update is our recent Feb. 18, 2014 longer-term 30 year US treasury bond forecast.

2. Number 2 in the above report indicates a decline and test/attempt at $129.25 (or lower) into March 2014. It is believed that decline is now underway.

3. Therefore, any new entry in June bonds will likely be on the short side for completion of the above-noted $129.25 downside target.

Latest update:

1. The June US 30 year treasury bond remains inside the larger uptrend as of Friday, March 28.

2. Any further decline and test at $132.31 (or lower) into Tuesday April 1 (+/-1 day) is important and may prompt new entry. Will update as market confirms.

David Williams

Issued: 04/14/2014

June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond, previous update:

1. In Friday’s (April 11) and today’s (April 14) live meeting it was noted that daily closes below $134.16 in the June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond were the weaker position and the earliest indication for a multi-day decline and test/attempt at $134.17 then at/near $133.12. Today’s session closed at $134.16.

2. Because today’s session closed to neutral (equal to) $134.16 no new action is being taken at this time. Will message any further indication in tomorrow’s (Tuesday, April 15) session.

David Williams