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04/21/2014 – 30 YR Treasury Bond

  • April 21, 2014
  • 30 YR Treasury Bond

Issued: 04/16/2014

June 30 year treasury bond:

1. The June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond is now at a critical juncture on the upside while testing the recently noted $134.16 level.

2. Any hourly and especially daily close below $134.06 in June bonds will be the earliest indication for a multi-day decline and test/attempt at $133.13/$12 (or lower). Will message any update based upon the above as the market confirms.

David Williams

Issued: 04/21/2014

June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:

1. Fridays (April 18) session completed the majority of the forecast decline from $134.06 to $133.13/$12 noted in the previous update (Friday’s session low, $133.19).

2. However, the market was unable to reach our final downside target at $133.13/$12 (missing it by 6 ticks) and today reached our $134.09 protective buy stop (today’s session high, $134.11, so far). This resulted in a successful trade. Will message any further entry or indication in the June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond market.

David Williams

Issued: 04/17/2014

June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:

1. Today’s June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond market declined sharply and has completed the majority of the forecast move from $134.06 to $133.13/$12 noted in the previous update (today’s session low, $133.19, so far).

2. Partial short position exits were either taken earlier at lower prices or should be taken now at current prices (current price $133.23). Most or all of your remaining position should be exited at/near the forecast $133.13/$12 profit target. Aggressive can continue to hold for the possibility of lower prices into Monday, April 21.

3. Protective buy stop should be placed at $134.09 This stop will be moved lower as the market continues to confirm.

David Williams

CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

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CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
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