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04/10/2014 – Soybeans

  • April 10, 2014
  • Soybeans

Issued: 03/31/2014

May soybeans, previous update:

1. Although not an outright forecast, a daily close below $14.46 in May soybeans tomorrow, Friday, March 28 may indicate a decline and test/attempt at $14.16 (or lower) into very early April. Check your own indications for the possibility of new short entry.

Latest update:

1. In today’s live meeting it was noted that any directional movement above $14.37/$38 in May soybeans would indicate new long entry for a fast advance and test/attempt at $14.60 (or higher).

2. Shortly after, May soybeans broke out above the $14.37/$38 buying level and quickly advanced to the $14.60 upside target, completing the trade. Aggressive can continue to hold for the possibility of higher prices into tomorrow.

David Williams

Issued: 04/10/2014

May soybeans, previous update:

1. Hourly and especially daily close below $14.96 in May soybeans is the earliest indication for a multi-day decline and test/attempt at $14.62/$61, then $14.54/$53. Will message any new entry based upon the above in tomorrow’s session as the market confirms.

Latest update:

1. May soybeans closed both hourly and daily below the critical $14.96 level indicating new short entry and lower prices coming, including $14.62/$61, then $1454/$53, noted in the previous update.

2. Traders who are short based upon the original update should take partial exits at/near $14.75 (current Globex price, $14.74). Further exits should be taken at/near $14.62, then at/near $14.54.

3. Protective buy stop should be at $14.98. This stop will be moved lower as the market continues to confirm.

David Williams

Issued: 04/01/2014

May soybeans, previous update:

1. In today’s live meeting it was noted that any directional movement above $14.37/$38 in May soybeans would indicate new long entry for a fast advance and test/attempt at $14.60 (or higher).

2. Shortly after, May soybeans broke out above the $14.37/$38 buying level and quickly advanced to the $14.60 upside target, completing the trade. Aggressive can continue to hold for the possibility of higher prices into tomorrow.

Latest update:

1. Today’s May soybeans continued on the recent forecast advance from $14.37/$38 to the initial $14.60 upside target (today’s session high, $14.81, so far).

2. Aggressive longs should exit a second portion of their long position at current prices (current price $14.76).

3. Final long position exit should be taken between $14.85/$93 into tomorrow (Wed., April 2) to complete the trade. Will message any further entry or indication.

David Williams

Issued: 04/01/2014

May soybeans, previous update:

1. Today’s May soybeans continued on the recent forecast advance from $14.37/$38 to the initial $14.60 upside target (today’s session high, $14.81, so far).

2. Aggressive longs should exit a second portion of their long position at current prices (current price $14.76).

3. Final long position exit should be taken between $14.85/$93 into tomorrow (Wed., April 2) to complete the trade. Will message any further entry or indication.

Latest update:

1. Today’s May soybean market continued on the forecast advance from $14.37/$38 and completed the final upside target range of $14.85/$93 noted in the previous update (today’s session high, $14.88, so far). This completes the trade. Will message any further entry or indication.

David Williams

Issued: 04/11/2014

May soybeans, previous update:

1. May soybeans closed both hourly and daily below the critical $14.96 level indicating new short entry and lower prices coming, including $14.62/$61, then $1454/$53, noted in the previous update.

2. Traders who are short based upon the original update should take partial exits at/near $14.75 (current Globex price, $14.74). Further exits should be taken at/near $14.62, then at/near $14.54.

3. Protective buy stop should be at $14.98. This stop will be moved lower as the market continues to confirm.

Latest update:

1. Today’s May soybeans continued on the forecast decline from the failure at $14.96 and completed the initial downside target at $14.62/$61 noted in the original update (today’s session low, $14.61, so far). This represents an approximate $34 cent decline.

2. Traders short based upon the original update took their second partial exit at/near $14.62. Final short position exit should be taken at/near the $14.54 downside target, as noted in the original update.

3. Our protective buy stop has been lowered to $14.86. This stop will continue to be moved lower as the market continues to confirm.

David Williams

Issued: 04/09/2014

May soybeans, previous update:

1. Today’s May soybean market continued on the forecast advance from $14.37/$38 and completed the final upside target range of $14.85/$93 noted in the previous update (today’s session high, $14.88, so far). This completes the trade. Will message any further entry or indication.

Latest update:

1. Hourly and especially daily close below $14.96 in May soybeans is the earliest indication for a multi-day decline and test/attempt at $14.62/$61, then $14.54/$53. Will message any new entry based upon the above in tomorrow’s session as the market confirms.

David Williams

CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

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CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
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