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04/09/2015 – 30 YR Treasury Bond

  • April 9, 2015
  • 30 YR Treasury Bond

Issued: 04/08/2015

June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:

1. Yesterday’s (Tues., April 7) daily close above $164.00 in the June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond placed the market into a ‘Buy’ position indicating new long entry and a continued advance and test/attempt at $166.17 (or higher) expected later this week (week of April 6).

2. Today’s (Wed., April 8) session initially advanced but later declined and retested the critical $164.00 level (today’s session low, $163.21, so far).

3. Our protective sell stop remains at $163.19 and the original trade remains valid. This stop will be moved higher as the market continues to confirm. Will update.

David Williams

Issued: 04/09/2015

June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:

1. Our protective sell stop at $163.19 in the 30 year U.S. Treasury bond was hit today, resulting in a loss on the entire position.

2. Today’s stop out resulted in a new short position based upon yesterday’s (Wed., April 8) Williams edge live meeting. In that meeting I noted that any significant break of or hourly close below $163.23 would indicate new short entry for continued decline and test/attempt at $162.04/$02 (or lower).

3. Initial short position exit should be taken at/near $163.01 with a further exit at/near $162.18. Any final short position should be held for the $162.04 final downside target. Aggressive can remain short for the possibility of lower prices ($161.05).

4. An initial protective stop should be placed above $164.00 (the original critical support level) and will quickly be moved lower as the market continues to confirm. Will update.

David Williams

Issued: 04/10/2015

June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:

1. Yesterday’s (Thurs., April 9) June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond closed hourly below $163.23, indicating new short entry.

2. Initial short position exit was taken at $163.01, with a further exit intended at/near $162.18 and $162.04.

3. However, after our initial $163.01 target was reached the market reversed and hit our protective stop above $164.00, resulting in a relatively small loss on the entire position. Will message any further entry or indication in the June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond.

David Williams

Issued: 04/07/2015

June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:

1. Today’s (Tues., April 7) June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond closed above $164.00 and therefore in the stronger position (today’s daily close, $164.28).

2. This places the June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond into a ‘Buy’ position and indicates a continued advance and test/attempt at $166.17 (or higher) expected later this week (week of April 6).

3. Initial long position exit should be taken at/near $165.20, further exit at/near $166.14. Any remaining position should be held for the possibility of higher prices to be messaged in a subsequent update.

3. Once long, a protective sell stop should be placed at $163.19. This stop will be moved higher as the market continues to confirm. Will update.

David Williams

CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

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CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
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