Issued: 04/08/2015
June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:
1. Yesterday’s (Tues., April 7) daily close above $164.00 in the June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond placed the market into a ‘Buy’ position indicating new long entry and a continued advance and test/attempt at $166.17 (or higher) expected later this week (week of April 6).
2. Today’s (Wed., April 8) session initially advanced but later declined and retested the critical $164.00 level (today’s session low, $163.21, so far).
3. Our protective sell stop remains at $163.19 and the original trade remains valid. This stop will be moved higher as the market continues to confirm. Will update.
David Williams
Issued: 04/09/2015
June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:
1. Our protective sell stop at $163.19 in the 30 year U.S. Treasury bond was hit today, resulting in a loss on the entire position.
2. Today’s stop out resulted in a new short position based upon yesterday’s (Wed., April 8) Williams edge live meeting. In that meeting I noted that any significant break of or hourly close below $163.23 would indicate new short entry for continued decline and test/attempt at $162.04/$02 (or lower).
3. Initial short position exit should be taken at/near $163.01 with a further exit at/near $162.18. Any final short position should be held for the $162.04 final downside target. Aggressive can remain short for the possibility of lower prices ($161.05).
4. An initial protective stop should be placed above $164.00 (the original critical support level) and will quickly be moved lower as the market continues to confirm. Will update.
David Williams
Issued: 04/10/2015
June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:
1. Yesterday’s (Thurs., April 9) June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond closed hourly below $163.23, indicating new short entry.
2. Initial short position exit was taken at $163.01, with a further exit intended at/near $162.18 and $162.04.
3. However, after our initial $163.01 target was reached the market reversed and hit our protective stop above $164.00, resulting in a relatively small loss on the entire position. Will message any further entry or indication in the June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond.
David Williams
Issued: 04/07/2015
June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond:
1. Today’s (Tues., April 7) June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond closed above $164.00 and therefore in the stronger position (today’s daily close, $164.28).
2. This places the June 30 year U.S. Treasury bond into a ‘Buy’ position and indicates a continued advance and test/attempt at $166.17 (or higher) expected later this week (week of April 6).
3. Initial long position exit should be taken at/near $165.20, further exit at/near $166.14. Any remaining position should be held for the possibility of higher prices to be messaged in a subsequent update.
3. Once long, a protective sell stop should be placed at $163.19. This stop will be moved higher as the market continues to confirm. Will update.
David Williams