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08/04/2014 – Copper

  • August 4, 2014
  • Copper

Issued: 08/04/2014

September copper:

1. Today’s (Monday, Aug. 4) September copper effectively completed the forecast decline from $325 to at/near $319 noted in our Thursday, July 31 (and subsequent) reports. Today’s session low was $319.95.

2. Will message any further entry or indication in September copper as the market confirms.

David Williams

Issued: 07/31/2014

September copper:

1. In Wednesday’s (July 30) Williams edge live meeting it was noted that a daily close below $325 in September copper would indicate new short entry for a multi-day decline and test/attempt at $319 (or lower).

2. Wednesday’s session closed at $324.15 (below $325), indicating new short entry. Today’s (Thursday, July 31) session looks to close below $325, as well.

3. Partial short position exit should be taken at/near $321.50, the remainder at/near $319 noted in the original update.

4. An initial protective stop at $326.25. This stop will be lowered as the market continues to confirm.

David Williams

Issued: 07/31/2014

September copper:

1. September copper continues to react off the $325.00 shorting territory noted in Wednesday’s (July 30) Williams edge live meeting.

2. Our protective buy stop has been lowered to $325.00. This stop will continue to be moved lower as the market continues to confirm. Will update.

David Williams

Issued: 08/01/2014

September copper:

1. Today’s September copper market advanced and triggered our recently adjusted $325 protective buy stop, resulting in a small loss (less than 1 point/contract) on the position.

2. Subsequently, copper has continued the forecast decline and completed our original initial downside target at $321.50 (today’s session low, $321.05, so far).

3. As noted in the original July 31 update, the final downside target is at/near $319 (or lower). Will update as the market continues to confirm.

David Williams

CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

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CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
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