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05/29/2014 – S&P Emini

  • May 29, 2014
  • S&P Emini

Issued: 05/26/2014

June S&P:

1. Our recent Wed., May 21 update forecast that a confirmed breakout in the June S&P above $1885 would advance first to $1893/$95, then to all-time new highs. Our live Wed., May 21 (and later) Williams edge meetings forecast both $1902/$03 then $1916/$17 as the all-time new high breakout price targets into the week of May 26 (+1 week).

2. Result: Thursday’s (May 22) session advanced beyond $1885 and completed the forecast $1893/$95 upside target noted above. Further, Monday’s (May 26) session continued on the advance and completed the forecast $1902/$03 initial all-time new high breakout target (today’s session high, $1904.75).

3. Further advance remains indicated in the June S&P into next week (week of May 26 +1 week) as noted above. Will update.

David Williams

Issued: 05/21/2014

June S&P:

1. In today’s (Wed., May 21) live meeting, and in the face of an unusual advance, it was noted that the June S&P must close above $1885 in order to indicate continued advance. Today’s session made a swing high of $1886.50, and closed the day at $1883.50, below $1885.

2. Although today’s session closed below $1885, any further confirmed advance above $1885 in tomorrow’s (Thursday, May 22) session will likely indicate further advance and test/attempt at $1893/$95 (and ultimately, all-time new highs).

3. Should tomorrow’s (Thursday, May 22) or Friday’s (Friday, May 23) session close back below $1875 without follow through on the upside noted above, this will be an important indication for sharply lower prices, including at/near the original $1857 downside target (or lower) noted in the original May 19 update. Will update.

David Williams

Issued: 05/22/2014

June S&P:

1. Today’s (Thursday, May 22) June S&P session completed yesterday’s forecast advance from $1285 to $1293/$95. Today’s first hour closed at $1287.50 (above $1285), confirming the advance.

2. A daily close today or tomorrow (Friday, May 23) above $1295 is the stronger position and indicates higher prices, including all-time new highs and a possible test/attempt at $1902, then $1915/$17 into next week.

3. A daily close below $1293.00 is the weaker position, leaving the market vulnerable to a test/attempt at $1879/$78 (or lower).

4. Although remote, any decline back below $1874 places the market in a much weaker position and indicates a fast decline to $1855 or lower. Aggressive can place resting sell stops (new short entry) at $1874 should this decline occur. Will update.

David Williams

Issued: 05/29/2014

June S&P:

1. Our recent Wed., May 21 June S&P forecast noted that any breakout above $1885 would advance to $1916/$17 during the week of May 26 (the current week)

2. Today’s (Thursday, May 29) session continued on the advance above $1885 and completed the forecast $1916/$17 upside target (today’s session high, $1917, so far). Any self-directed trades based upon the original May 21 forecast are now complete.

3. At this point, only aggressive remain long for the possibility of higher prices. A weekly close below $1917 is the weaker position, above $1917 the stronger position. Will update.

David Williams

CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

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CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
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